Very optimistic by all measures.
In 2016, the Japanese corporation SoftBank spent about $32 billion to buy the then-public company Arm. Bloomberg announces the intentions of the Japanese corporation to bring Arm to an IPO by March next year.
Image Source: Japan Times
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At the same time, the capitalization of Arm is estimated by the current owners of the company’s assets at $60 billion, one and a half times higher than NVIDIA had to pay. Such an optimistic estimate does not quite fit into the usual patterns for such transactions, since the industry-wide multiplier of Arm’s annual revenue, which does not exceed $2.6 billion, gives an amount of less than $30 billion. them a $8 billion loan secured by Arm shares. In a couple of years, SoftBank expects to pay off the debt – either in cash or in the same shares.