True, the economy does not seem to know about this.
The strength or weakness of the ruble is a very sore subject for Russian society: everyone wants, as of old, to buy imported goods at affordable prices. In the spring and summer, against the background of the strengthening of the ruble to 51 per dollar, it seemed that these dreams could come true, but in the fall everything went in the opposite direction, until the ruble collapsed back to ~ 70 per dollar in December. As it often happens, the authorities, who were previously happy that the ruble is the most strongly strengthened currency in the world, began hastily “changing shoes” and declaring that a weak ruble is beneficial for the domestic economy.
For example, according to Deputy Prime Minister Andrey Belousov, the strong ruble “played its role” for the Russian economy, and now the government is observing that the income of export-oriented companies has begun to fall, which affects investments. And under these conditions, according to Belousov, “it would be nice to have” an exchange rate of about 70-80 rubles per dollar.
Note that the dilemma “what should be a fair exchange rate?” still remains intractable, given the heterogeneity of the Russian economy. On the one hand, over the past ten years it has become self-sufficient, and the range of exported goods has expanded significantly. On the other hand, dependence on imports, especially in the ordinary household sector, is still colossal. And this “conflict of interest”, apparently, will accompany us for a long time – until a certain golden mean of the exchange rate is found, which, according to some experts, looks like 60 rubles per dollar.
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On the other hand, it is also important to remember that the world is now undergoing tectonic changes and an accelerated process of de-dollarization: the largest non-Western economies agree on mutual settlements in national currencies, and political and economic associations such as the BRICS are even developing their own reserve currency. Thus, in the future, it may turn out that the ratio of the ruble to the dollar and the euro will cease to matter for the end consumer.
