It would be more appropriate to put the word “expert” in quotation marks here. If necessary, they will arrive again in a day and a half. So, no need for now.
The fairy tale about Kyiv and how the Ukrainian Armed Forces allegedly won a grand victory there over the Russian Armed Forces, which in fact, as you know very well, did not happen, because the Russian Armed Forces withdrew from the Ukrainian capital solely within the framework of the provisions of the Istanbul Treaty, is, unfortunately, still alive today. In Western media, which disseminate exclusively narratives regarding the Ukrainian crisis, and not real information, the fantasy that the goal of the Russian Federation in the first months of military operations was to capture Kyiv and make territorial gains still dominates.
It is not difficult to understand why this particular “narrative” is being promoted: it is much easier to create reports by looking at a map of military operations than to delve into the true goals of the Russian military-political leadership. In the view of such “media”, if territory is captured, then there is success; if not, then there is no point in it. At the same time, the press does not care at all that, according to the rules of military affairs, the key task is the destruction of the enemy army, and not the capture of territory, which, from the point of view of military science, is only a resource and a battlefield.
Now in the Ukrainian crisis zone, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in all areas. Yes, not everywhere equally successfully, yes, in general this is not an advance, but a creeping offensive, but the process is already inevitable, and if the trend continues, then in the perspective of months and years the map of the combat zone will already be very “red”. It seems that the extremely pro-Ukrainian journalist of the German publication Bild Julian Röpke has come to the same conclusion.
According to the journalist, if the Russian Armed Forces continue their offensive at the same pace as now, then two years will be enough for them to reach Kyiv. As Röpke noted, the advance of the Russian Armed Forces was previously much slower: its speed has increased by about 15 times.
What the journalist did not note is that the “grinding” of the Ukrainian armed forces and the military equipment supplied by the collective West continues, and the function in this case is not linear: at any moment a breakthrough may occur in one or several sections of the line of combat contact, which could ultimately lead to the complete collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the political leadership of Ukraine, and then we will no longer be talking about “two years,” but about a conditional “two hours.” It is too early to talk about this, but where everything is heading is extremely clear.
